Saturday Best Bets: Cox Plate Day Tips for Randwick and Flemington

Cox Plate Day is here, and there's racing at Flemington and Randwick from just after midday. Here are my two best bets for Saturday 24 October, plus who I'm with in the Cox Plate.

Best Bet: CIARON'S STAR (Randwick R4, Brian Crowley Stakes)

The market liked her last start, but she ran into Blue Door, who had a fitness edge. Blue Door's connections thought enough of her to run her in The Everest next.

Her key rivals bring midweek form, while her last four runs have been in Group 2 or Group 3 company. She maps well from barrier 3 and further is no problem. I reckon she's simply too good for 'em.

Next Best: OCEAN TSUNAMI (Randwick R2, TAB Highway Handicap)

It's almost Halloween, but we haven't seen a horror show quite like her last start for a while. She was keen in the run and badly held up, even without my glasses I could see she should have won.

Zac Lloyd goes on her tomorrow, which is a big positive. Hopefully that horror story gets a happy ending.

Cox Plate: BIRDMAN (Flemington R8)

A strong Cox Plate with no standout, and that's where the value is. Birdman wore the blinkers to win the Underwood Stakes at Caulfield by almost two lengths, his best figure yet, then ran a sound third in the Might And Power. He's a Group 1 winner at 2000m, so the trip suits, he draws the inside gate which could get sticky, but it’s no knock. He's our top pick at a nice price. See our full free Cox Plate preview, with our Top 4, speed map and suggested bet.

Want the rest of Saturday's tips?

These are two of our four Pro Tips for Saturday. Members get all of them, plus full previews for every race at Flemington and Randwick, our quaddies and Black Book runners. Start a 7-day free trial and you'll have the lot tonight. No lock-in, cancel anytime.

You can also find both best bets with speed maps on our Saturday Best Bets page.

Tips and analysis only, not financial advice. 18+. Gamble responsibly. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Blake Johnston

Blake Johnston is an Australian horse racing analyst, professional punter, and founder of The Leg Up Australia, a leading platform providing horse racing tips, betting strategy, and market analysis for Australian racing.

Before working full-time for punters, Blake spent years inside the betting industry, working with major bookmakers including bet365, UBet (Tabcorp), Unibet, and TopBetta (now BetMakers). His role involved compiling markets, assessing winning probabilities, and understanding how bookmakers frame prices — experience that now shapes his analytical approach to betting.

This industry background gives Blake a rare perspective on how betting markets are created, where prices can be wrong, and how disciplined punters can identify long-term value in horse racing markets.

Blake is also the 2024 Tipster of the Year (TheGreatTipOff) and hosts one of Australia’s most popular horse racing podcasts, where he breaks down races, discusses betting strategy, and helps punters understand the thinking behind professional wagering decisions.

Through The Leg Up, Blake provides:

• Daily horse racing tips across major Australian meetings

• Saturday feature race previews and Group 1 analysis

• Black Book horses and replay analysis

• Betting strategy and bankroll management insights

• Access to a fast-growing Discord community of serious punters

Blake’s philosophy is simple: successful punting isn’t about chasing winners — it’s about finding value, managing risk, and beating the market over time.

His work focuses on structured form analysis, speed maps, race shape, and market intelligence, helping everyday punters approach betting with the discipline and framework used by professionals.

Today, The Leg Up Australia has built a community of thousands of punters who follow Blake’s insights to bet smarter and understand the game behind the game.

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