G'day punters,
Big Saturday. It's C.F. Orr Stakes day at Sandown, and there's a strong card at Newcastle as well.
Here's my Best Bet and my value bet at Newcastle.
BEST BET: GLORIOUS MOMENTS
Newcastle Race 10 (#11) · 5:55pm AEDT · 1300m
He's back after 133 days, and fresh suits him. He's won two of his three first-up runs.
Last preparation he came back from a 298-day break and won first-up at Warwick Farm, despite covering extra ground without cover. He won again at Randwick over 1400m, then started favourite in the Listed Winter Stakes at Rosehill.
He didn't run up to that one, but the 1300m suits him better. He's had two quiet trials to get ready, and from barrier 6 he maps to get a good trail.
Regan Bayliss rides for Jim and Greg Lee.
Looks hard to hold out.
VALUE: CURRUMBIN ALLEY
Newcastle Race 3 (#13) · 1:45pm AEDT · 1600m
He improved second-up at Muswellbrook, sitting outside the leader and sticking on well. He's getting fitter, and third-up over a mile is where he should be at his peak.
He meets that winner 4kg better with Mollie Fitzgerald's claim.
Back in February he beat Olympian, who's in this race too, by 4.4 lengths. He meets him 7kg better this time.
Barrier 17 is the worry. But four of his runs last preparation measure up to this grade, and the price is big.
Right in this at a big price.
The quick take
✅ Best Bet: Newcastle R10 #11 GLORIOUS MOMENTS
✅ Value: Newcastle R3 #13 CURRUMBIN ALLEY
Both are on our free Saturday tips page, with the speed maps: thelegupaustralia.com/best-bets-saturday
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Good luck Saturday.
BJ
About the Writer: Blake Johnston
I'm Blake Johnston, founder of The Leg Up Australia. I spent years on the other side of the counter as a bookmaker at Bet365, Unibet, UBet and TopBetta, and in 2024 I was crowned Australia's Best Tipster by The Great Tipoff.
Tips and analysis only, not financial advice. 18+. Gamble responsibly. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
