G1 Preview - Doomben 10,000

May 15

Cracking race and it’s a case of the old boy (JIMMYSSTAR) vs the up and coming 3yo’s. Who comes out on top?

Here are my selections for the Doomben 10,000 (Doomben R8):

JIMMYSSTAR (1st): Will the tighter track at Doomben suit his get back and run on style? It’s not ideal but he does have a good record at Caulfield which is a comparable track. He had the pattern of the day, wide draw, and race-shape against when he hit the line hard in the All Aged Stakes behind Beiwacht. That was over 1400m and the drop in trip here is against, but last time he was on rain affected ground he looked like Phar Lap winning the Russell Balding (PRIVATE EYE finished 5th). A testing track is ideal for the drop in trip. He’ll be hard to hold out.

GRAFTERBURNERS (2nd): He was no match for Tempted last start but that's good form for any race. He can only strip fitter for that effort and gets Zac Purton in the saddle. His trainer Kelly Schweida stated that he’d prefer dry ground, so that’s a concern. I tipped him in The Galaxy when heavily supported late and scratched at the gates, so will be including him in everything.

NAPOLEONIC (3rd): Joliestar and Tempted scattered in his form from last preparation, that's good form. His win in the Red Anchor Stakes was that of a good horse and maybe they just aimed up a bit too high with him? Suggest that McDonald would have had options here and lands on this bloke. Still learning but has trialled super to return from a short break. His trainer Tom Charlton suggested that he will love the potential heavy conditions.

BEADMAN (4th): Brilliant winning just seven-days ago and strikes rain affected ground on the quick back-up. Almost lapped his rivals last time he struck a heavy track at the Gold Coast, wouldn't be surprised to see the market trend toward him

The old boy on top of three 3yo’s. Should be a cracking spectacle.

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Good luck,

Blake Johnston

Blake Johnston is an Australian horse racing analyst, professional punter, and founder of The Leg Up Australia, a leading platform providing horse racing tips, betting strategy, and market analysis for Australian racing.

Before working full-time for punters, Blake spent years inside the betting industry, working with major bookmakers including bet365, UBet (Tabcorp), Unibet, and TopBetta (now BetMakers). His role involved compiling markets, assessing winning probabilities, and understanding how bookmakers frame prices — experience that now shapes his analytical approach to betting.

This industry background gives Blake a rare perspective on how betting markets are created, where prices can be wrong, and how disciplined punters can identify long-term value in horse racing markets.

Blake is also the 2024 Tipster of the Year (TheGreatTipOff) and hosts one of Australia’s most popular horse racing podcasts, where he breaks down races, discusses betting strategy, and helps punters understand the thinking behind professional wagering decisions.

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Blake’s philosophy is simple: successful punting isn’t about chasing winners — it’s about finding value, managing risk, and beating the market over time.

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G1 Preview - Doomben 10,000

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