Horses To Follow - Rosehill

Rosehill was a fill up for our Members on Saturday. We had four bets and three of them won - KING PEDRO at $5.17, SURF’S UP at $3.24, THEBUDGIESMUGLA at $3, BELLA CORAZON at $8.69, the miss was KING PEDRO and he was an absolute certainty beaten.

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The meeting played relatively fair, most of the winners came to the middle of the track but it wasn’t disadvantageous to settle on speed as those that did just angled to the better going in the straight.

Here are our horses to follow from the meeting:

KING PEDRO: Absolute certainty beaten. He was slow to begin which meant that he settled well back and, on the fence, which wasn’t the place to be. Prince Eric rolled forward on the three wide line about 800m from home, I though that Anna Roper should have tried to follow him, but maybe she didn’t have the opportunity – the question should have been asked by stewards. A run closed on him at the furlong, but he really hit the line hard when clear with 150m to go. He wins in one more stride. Senior jockey next time would suit.

TARZING: The market loved him first-up. He was a bit slow to begin but wasn’t bustled, happy to settle out the back. He was in limited room for most of the straight, when he did get clear inside the final furlong he found the line well - his best work was through the line. He can only strip fitter for that effort and should improve second-up. Look for him next time from a better draw with a senior jockey booked.

BENEVAC: He didn’t have much luck. He was a touch slow to begin before being restrained for cover, he didn’t find it. He covered extra ground four wide out on a limb forward of midfield on an above average tempo for the class. He did a terrific job to keep finding the line despite having a tough run. He can improve third-up over further with a more economical run.

Have a great week,

BJ

Blake Johnston

Blake Johnston is an Australian horse racing analyst, professional punter, and founder of The Leg Up Australia, a leading platform providing horse racing tips, betting strategy, and market analysis for Australian racing.

Before working full-time for punters, Blake spent years inside the betting industry, working with major bookmakers including bet365, UBet (Tabcorp), Unibet, and TopBetta (now BetMakers). His role involved compiling markets, assessing winning probabilities, and understanding how bookmakers frame prices — experience that now shapes his analytical approach to betting.

This industry background gives Blake a rare perspective on how betting markets are created, where prices can be wrong, and how disciplined punters can identify long-term value in horse racing markets.

Blake is also the 2024 Tipster of the Year (TheGreatTipOff) and hosts one of Australia’s most popular horse racing podcasts, where he breaks down races, discusses betting strategy, and helps punters understand the thinking behind professional wagering decisions.

Through The Leg Up, Blake provides:

• Daily horse racing tips across major Australian meetings

• Saturday feature race previews and Group 1 analysis

• Black Book horses and replay analysis

• Betting strategy and bankroll management insights

• Access to a fast-growing Discord community of serious punters

Blake’s philosophy is simple: successful punting isn’t about chasing winners — it’s about finding value, managing risk, and beating the market over time.

His work focuses on structured form analysis, speed maps, race shape, and market intelligence, helping everyday punters approach betting with the discipline and framework used by professionals.

Today, The Leg Up Australia has built a community of thousands of punters who follow Blake’s insights to bet smarter and understand the game behind the game.

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