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TLU Best Bets + Quaddies
Saturday 17 October · 5 states
Our best bets and quaddies for the main meeting in every state, built from our ratings and winning standards.
NSW RandwickVIC CaulfieldQLD DoombenSA MorphettvilleWA Ascot
Pro Tips are marked. Full write-ups and staking for every Pro Tip are in the email and on the preview pages. Prices are as at time of publishing.
NSW
Randwick
Saturday 17 October
Track Soft 7Rail +3m entire
R2 #4 Saffron Veil
Pro Tip and our best at Randwick. Chris Waller has won three of the last five runnings with fillies who went on to win Group 1s. She'd have beaten the smart Sequinned two back with more room, then got the job done last start with her final 100m the best part of her run. Nice trial since and the step up to 1400m suits.TO+
Pro Tip and our best at Randwick. Chris Waller has won three of the last five runnings with fillies who went on to win Group 1s. She'd have beaten the smart Sequinned two back with more room, then got the job done last start with her final 100m the best part of her run. Nice trial since and the step up to 1400m suits.TO+
R4 #4 So You Are
Pro Tip. Two tough on-speed wins up in trip for Bjorn Baker, the latest after applying pressure to the leader all the way. Very genuine, chasing the hat-trick, and he's won on a heavy track before. Rates top of the field.$3.00
Pro Tip. Two tough on-speed wins up in trip for Bjorn Baker, the latest after applying pressure to the leader all the way. Very genuine, chasing the hat-trick, and he's won on a heavy track before. Rates top of the field.$3.00
R3 #7 Polymnia
Pro Tip. Held up at a key stage last start and still ran the best last 200m of the race once clear. Third-up is where she peaks and she meets Unleeshing 3kg better. She's placed a lot lately, but this is her chance.$4.20
Pro Tip. Held up at a key stage last start and still ran the best last 200m of the race once clear. Third-up is where she peaks and she meets Unleeshing 3kg better. She's placed a lot lately, but this is her chance.$4.20
R10 #17 Thebelmontgangster
Pro Tip. Far from disgraced first-up in the wrong part of the track. Fitter now, the wet suits and 1400m is his ideal trip. Rates close to the favourite at a big price.$14
Pro Tip. Far from disgraced first-up in the wrong part of the track. Fitter now, the wet suits and 1400m is his ideal trip. Rates close to the favourite at a big price.$14
Early quaddie · R3–R6
R37-5-8R44-12-3R510-3-12-16R613-3-12-15
Main quaddie · R7–R10
R71R83-1-8R95-1R103-17-18-4
VIC
Caulfield
Saturday 17 October
Track Good 4Rail +3m entire
R9 #12 Saint George
Our best at Caulfield and our Future Tip, taken at $17 in September. Closed strongly for second carrying 58.5kg two back, battled on a heavy track last start and now drops to 53.5kg. Barrier 2 gives him a soft run. Check he passes his race-day vet inspection before you bet.$8
Our best at Caulfield and our Future Tip, taken at $17 in September. Closed strongly for second carrying 58.5kg two back, battled on a heavy track last start and now drops to 53.5kg. Barrier 2 gives him a soft run. Check he passes his race-day vet inspection before you bet.$8
R6 #2 Cavalry Girl
Won three in a row, then shared the lead in the Moir and found plenty for a close second. Freshened since. Rates clear on top of this field.$2.50
Won three in a row, then shared the lead in the Moir and found plenty for a close second. Freshened since. Rates clear on top of this field.$2.50
R7 #4 De Armas + #11 Sing Your Song
Two Black Book runners we're backing in the Thousand Guineas. De Armas was good late fresh, then settled closer and only just got outlasted in the Flight Stakes. Sing Your Song won a strong form race two back and ran on well once clear last time.$9 / $13
Two Black Book runners we're backing in the Thousand Guineas. De Armas was good late fresh, then settled closer and only just got outlasted in the Flight Stakes. Sing Your Song won a strong form race two back and ran on well once clear last time.$9 / $13
Early quaddie · R3–R6
R38-1-7-9R413-14R51-3R62-5
Main quaddie · R7–R10
R73-4-11-8-9R812-6-1R912-2-7-10R109-4-12-10
QLD
Doomben
Saturday 17 October
Track Soft 5Rail +1m entire
R3 #14 Scripted
Ran close up at all three Sydney runs this prep, then found one better at Eagle Farm when the weights suited. Hasn't won for a while, but this is a soft race for him and he rates well clear of the rest.$1.90
Ran close up at all three Sydney runs this prep, then found one better at Eagle Farm when the weights suited. Hasn't won for a while, but this is a soft race for him and he rates well clear of the rest.$1.90
R9 #10 Metaphorically
Bolted in first-up for this stable and was too strong again last start. Going for the hat-trick and over the odds.$8
Bolted in first-up for this stable and was too strong again last start. Going for the hat-trick and over the odds.$8
R7 #4 Berezka
Two wins on end. Finished hard to win third-up, then sat on the fence and found enough to make it a double. In form and rates right with the top pick at a big price.$14
Two wins on end. Finished hard to win third-up, then sat on the fence and found enough to make it a double. In form and rates right with the top pick at a big price.$14
Quaddie · R7–R10
R77-4-5R812-11R910-5-11R104-6
SA
Morphettville
Saturday 17 October
Track Good 4Rail +8m 1200m–WP, +6m rest
R8 #3 Shadow Eagle
Went straight to the front and ran them ragged second-up when rising in trip. Should lead again and will take some catching.$4
Went straight to the front and ran them ragged second-up when rising in trip. Should lead again and will take some catching.$4
R2 #5 Meg's Magic
Led all the way first-up, and her two runs since have been sound. Rates top in a tight race at a nice price.$10
Led all the way first-up, and her two runs since have been sound. Rates top in a tight race at a nice price.$10
R4 #4 Capulet
Has led by big margins at her last two before tiring, so she's the speed. If she can hold on this time she's the one to beat, and the price covers the risk.$7
Has led by big margins at her last two before tiring, so she's the speed. If she can hold on this time she's the one to beat, and the price covers the risk.$7
Quaddie · R6–R9
R64-1-12R76-10-13R83-12R91-16-7
WA
Ascot
Saturday 17 October
Track Good 4Rail +4m entire
R7 #7 Western Miss
Our best at Ascot. Resumes today, but won the maiden first-up at Pinjarra last preparation, so fresh is no problem. Rates well clear of this field.$2.15
Our best at Ascot. Resumes today, but won the maiden first-up at Pinjarra last preparation, so fresh is no problem. Rates well clear of this field.$2.15
R8 #3 London's Image
Back from a spell for a new stable. She never runs a bad race and her first-up form is solid. Rates top in this race, so $9 is plenty of value.$9
Back from a spell for a new stable. She never runs a bad race and her first-up form is solid. Rates top in this race, so $9 is plenty of value.$9
R3 #3 Let's Talk
Raced on the speed and kept kicking for a brave win at Belmont last start. She'll go forward again and will take some catching. Rates top here at $7.$7
Raced on the speed and kept kicking for a brave win at Belmont last start. She'll go forward again and will take some catching. Rates top here at $7.$7
Quaddie · R7–R10
R77R83-6-4R93-1R1010-2
Rated = our price from TLU ratings. Winning standard = the rating needed to win.
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